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Brumov vs Holešov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:15

Brumov

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

WLD ··

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Holešov

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.8%0-24.3%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.9%1-110.2%1-27.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.6%3-15.3%3-23.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.5%4+-22.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 38.8% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brumov1.8

Holešov1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUMOV · PPG 1.55

HOLEŠOV · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brumov (H) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Holešov (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brumov face Holešov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brumov a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Holešov 35%, so Brumov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Brumov and 1.5 for Holešov (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brumov are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.94 for Holešov. This match finished 3-3.

Brumov vs Holešov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

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