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Bzenec vs Slavičín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Bzenec

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWL ·

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slavičín

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.9%0-24.1%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.4%1-19.0%1-27.6%1-34.3%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.1%3-15.2%3-24.4%3-32.5%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.7%4+-23.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bzenec1.9

Slavičín1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BZENEC · PPG 1.36

SLAVIČÍN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bzenec (H) 42.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavičín (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bzenec face Slavičín in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bzenec a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Slavičín 35%, so Bzenec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bzenec and 1.7 for Slavičín (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bzenec are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.71 for Slavičín. This match finished 3-4.

Bzenec vs Slavičín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E Predictions