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Baťov vs Břeclav Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Baťov

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLL ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Břeclav

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.4%0-25.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.4%1-111.9%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.4%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2✓ 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 0–1 8.4%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baťov1.4

Břeclav1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BAŤOV · PPG 1.36

BŘECLAV · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Baťov (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Břeclav (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baťov face Břeclav in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baťov a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Břeclav 42%, so Břeclav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Baťov and 1.4 for Břeclav (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baťov are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.15 for Břeclav. This match finished 1-2.

Baťov vs Břeclav Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

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