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Šternberk vs Sokol Lanžhot Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Šternberk

PPG 0.99 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLW ·

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sokol Lanžhot

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-19.0%0-27.0%0-33.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.6%1-111.7%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.9%2-17.6%2-25.8%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.1%3-13.3%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 43.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Šternberk1.3

Sokol Lanžhot1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ŠTERNBERK · PPG 0.99

SOKOL LANŽHOT · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Šternberk (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sokol Lanžhot (A) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Šternberk face Sokol Lanžhot in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Šternberk a 32% chance, the draw 24% and Sokol Lanžhot 43%, so Sokol Lanžhot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Šternberk and 1.5 for Sokol Lanžhot (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Šternberk are averaging 0.99 points per game versus 1.75 for Sokol Lanžhot. This match finished 4-1.

Šternberk vs Sokol Lanžhot Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

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