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Tatran Bohunice vs Velké Meziříčí Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie D

Group D · Matchday 5 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:00

Tatran Bohunice

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWD ·

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Velké Meziříčí

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDD ·

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-14.7%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.4%1-19.5%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.5%3-16.5%3-22.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-15.3%4+-22.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% 66.7% 1.50 -7.3%

Draw 22.2% 23.8% 4.20 -4.1%

Away win 16.0% 21.1% 4.75 -14.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 65.4% 1.53 -18.1%

Over 3.5 31.5% 41.7% 2.40 -24.4%

BTTS 51.8% 61.7% 1.62 -16.1%

Home O1.5 56.7% 68.0% 1.47 -16.7%

Away O1.5 22.1% 33.3% 3.00 -20.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 23%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.8%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.6%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tatran Bohunice2.0

Velké Meziříčí0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TATRAN BOHUNICE · PPG 1.83

VELKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.26 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tatran Bohunice (H) 61.8%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -7.3%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -4.1%

Velké Meziříčí (A) 16.0%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tatran Bohunice face Velké Meziříčí in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie D on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tatran Bohunice a 62% chance, the draw 22% and Velké Meziříčí 16%, so Tatran Bohunice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Tatran Bohunice and 0.8 for Velké Meziříčí (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tatran Bohunice are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.20 for Velké Meziříčí. This match finished 3-3.

Tatran Bohunice vs Velké Meziříčí Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie D

Match Preview & Prediction

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