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Odd W vs Arna-Bjørnar W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

Odd W

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Arna-Bjørnar W

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-111.0%0-210.2%0-36.3%0-4+4.5%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.9%1-36.1%1-4+4.3%2 2-02.8%2-15.2%2-24.8%2-33.0%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.9%3-11.7%3-21.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.5% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 56.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 0–2 10.2%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odd W1.0

Arna-Bjørnar W1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD W · PPG 1.71

ARNA-BJØRNAR W · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.89 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Odd W (H) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Arna-Bjørnar W (A) 56.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odd W face Arna-Bjørnar W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd W a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Arna-Bjørnar W 57%, so Arna-Bjørnar W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Odd W and 1.9 for Arna-Bjørnar W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.86 for Arna-Bjørnar W. This match finished 0-3.

Odd W vs Arna-Bjørnar W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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