Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Klepp W vs Frigg Oslo FK W

Klepp W vs Frigg Oslo FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:30

Klepp W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
LAST 5
LWLLL
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Frigg Oslo FK W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLDWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.6%0-21.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.0%1-16.8%1-24.6%1-32.1%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.5%2-18.8%2-26.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.6%3-17.6%3-25.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-19.1%4+-26.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.5%
Draw 20.1%
Away win 24.4%
Over 2.5 68.0%
Over 3.5 48.0%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 65.1%
Away O1.5 41.2%

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 3–1 7.6%
#4 1–2 4.6%
#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klepp W2.6
Frigg Oslo FK W1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KLEPP W · PPG 1.00

FRIGG OSLO FK W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Klepp W (H) 55.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Frigg Oslo FK W (A) 24.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Klepp W face Frigg Oslo FK W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klepp W a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Frigg Oslo FK W 24%, so Klepp W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Klepp W and 1.4 for Frigg Oslo FK W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klepp W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Frigg Oslo FK W. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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