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Sporting Cristal W vs Atl. Andahuaylas W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Sporting Cristal W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Atl. Andahuaylas W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWWW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 67.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.1%1-17.4%1-22.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-19.1%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.2%3-17.5%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-18.2%4+-23.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%

Draw 18.4% 25.6% 3.90 -16.9%

Away win 20.1% 22.2% 4.50 -5.7%

Over 2.5 62.6% 66.7% 1.50 -6.1%

Over 3.5 39.1% 51.8% 1.93 -24.5%

BTTS 53.0% 69.4% 1.44 -23.7%

Home O1.5 65.1% 67.1% 1.49 -3.0%

Away O1.5 17.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.0%

H 62% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.4%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 3–0 10.2%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting Cristal W2.5

Atl. Andahuaylas W0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING CRISTAL W · PPG 2.50

ATL. ANDAHUAYLAS W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.72 for Home, form 2.50 vs 2.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sporting Cristal W (H) 61.5%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -5.9%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -16.9%

Atl. Andahuaylas W (A) 20.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -5.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting Cristal W face Atl. Andahuaylas W in Peru - Liga Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting Cristal W a 62% chance, the draw 18% and Atl. Andahuaylas W 20%, so Sporting Cristal W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sporting Cristal W and 0.7 for Atl. Andahuaylas W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting Cristal W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Atl. Andahuaylas W. This match finished 0-2.

Sporting Cristal W vs Atl. Andahuaylas W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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