Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E / Nové Sady vs Bzenec

Nové Sady vs Bzenec Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Nové Sady

PPG 0.59 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLL ·

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bzenec

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.6%0-25.1%0-33.1%0-4+2.1%1 1-05.1%1-19.3%1-28.4%1-35.1%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.0%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.4%3-14.3%3-23.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.6%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 39.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 48.4% — — —

Away O1.5 49.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nové Sady1.7

Bzenec1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NOVÉ SADY · PPG 0.59

BZENEC · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nové Sady (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bzenec (A) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nové Sady face Bzenec in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nové Sady a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Bzenec 39%, so Bzenec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Nové Sady and 1.8 for Bzenec (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nové Sady are averaging 0.59 points per game versus 1.14 for Bzenec. This match finished 2-4.

Nové Sady vs Bzenec Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E Predictions