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Holešov vs Baťov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:30

Holešov

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Baťov

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.07 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-14.8%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.2%1-19.8%1-24.7%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-16.7%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-15.5%4+-22.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 52.8% — — —

Home O1.5 57.0% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holešov2.0

Baťov1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLEŠOV · PPG 1.52

BAŤOV · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.07 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Holešov (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Baťov (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holešov face Baťov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holešov a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Baťov 22%, so Holešov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Holešov and 1.0 for Baťov (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holešov are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.94 for Baťov. This match finished 3-1.

Holešov vs Baťov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

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