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Start W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Start W

PPG 2.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viking FK W

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-16.2%0-25.7%0-33.6%0-4+2.5%1 1-05.1%1-19.6%1-28.9%1-35.5%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.4%2-26.9%2-34.2%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.5%3-32.2%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.1%4+-21.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 43.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 43.5% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Start W1.5

Viking FK W1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

START W · PPG 2.71

VIKING FK W · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Start W (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viking FK W (A) 43.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Start W face Viking FK W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Start W a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Viking FK W 43%, so Viking FK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Start W and 1.9 for Viking FK W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Start W are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 2.67 for Viking FK W. This match finished 5-2.

Start W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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