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NSÍ II vs HB II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:30

NSÍ II

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

HB II

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-111.2%0-27.9%0-33.7%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.9%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.0%2-17.0%2-25.0%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.9%3-12.6%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 43.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSÍ II1.1

HB II1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NSÍ II · PPG 0.67

HB II · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

NSÍ II (H) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HB II (A) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NSÍ II face HB II in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSÍ II a 32% chance, the draw 25% and HB II 43%, so HB II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for NSÍ II and 1.4 for HB II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSÍ II are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.22 for HB II.

NSÍ II vs HB II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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