Today / Denmark - 2. Division / VSK Århus vs Fremad Amager

VSK Århus vs Fremad Amager Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:30

VSK Århus

PPG 1.38 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Fremad Amager

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-17.9%0-24.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.1%1-112.2%1-26.1%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-19.3%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.8%3-14.8%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% 48.8% 2.05 -1.2%

Draw 26.8% 33.3% 3.00 -11.8%

Away win 25.0% 30.3% 3.30 -10.5%

Over 2.5 50.3% 52.6% 1.90 -4.4%

Over 3.5 28.8% 30.8% 3.25 -3.8%

BTTS 52.8% 57.8% 1.73 -8.7%

Home O1.5 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Away O1.5 31.3% 38.2% 2.62 -18.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 20%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.8%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 0–0 7.9%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VSK Århus1.5

Fremad Amager1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VSK ÅRHUS · PPG 1.38

FREMAD AMAGER · PPG 1.32

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

VSK Århus (H) 48.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -1.2%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.8%

Fremad Amager (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

VSK Århus face Fremad Amager in Denmark - 2. Division on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VSK Århus a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Fremad Amager 25%, so VSK Århus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for VSK Århus and 1.0 for Fremad Amager (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VSK Århus are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.32 for Fremad Amager. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 3-0.

VSK Århus vs Fremad Amager Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 2. Division Predictions