Today / Hungary - NB III - Northeast / Diósgyőr II vs Debrecen II

Diósgyőr II vs Debrecen II Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:30

Diósgyőr II logo
Diósgyőr II
PPG 1.35 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Debrecen II logo
Debrecen II
PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.3%0-24.1%0-33.4%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.4%1-16.0%1-27.5%1-36.2%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.2%2-15.5%2-26.9%2-35.7%2-4+6.5%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.2%3-33.5%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.4%4+-23.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.0%
Draw 21.4%
Away win 48.5%
Over 2.5 73.0%
Over 3.5 52.7%
BTTS 69.6%
Home O1.5 55.4%
Away O1.5 65.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob69.6%

A 48% / xG 1.8-2.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.5%
#2 2–2 6.9%
#3 1–1 6.0%
#4 1–3 6.2%
#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Diósgyőr II1.8
Debrecen II2.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DIÓSGYŐR II · PPG 1.35

DEBRECEN II · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Diósgyőr II (H) 30.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Debrecen II (A) 48.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Diósgyőr II face Debrecen II in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Diósgyőr II a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Debrecen II 49%, so Debrecen II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Diósgyőr II and 2.5 for Debrecen II (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Diósgyőr II are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.56 for Debrecen II.

PredictVantage

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