Today / Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild / HB T. B vs Vikingur B

HB T. B vs Vikingur B Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

HB T. B logo
HB T. B
PPG 0.67 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Vikingur B logo
Vikingur B
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-17.2%0-27.2%0-34.8%0-4+3.8%1 1-04.8%1-19.5%1-29.5%1-36.4%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.1%2-16.3%2-26.3%2-34.2%2-4+3.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.8%3-22.8%3-31.8%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.6%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 45.4%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 42.5%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%
#2 1–2 9.5%
#3 0–2 7.2%
#4 1–3 6.4%
#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB T. B1.3
Vikingur B2.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HB T. B · PPG 0.67

VIKINGUR B · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

HB T. B (H) 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vikingur B (A) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HB T. B face Vikingur B in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB T. B a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Vikingur B 45%, so Vikingur B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for HB T. B and 2.0 for Vikingur B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB T. B are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Vikingur B. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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