Today / Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild / Suduroy vs Hoyvik

Suduroy vs Hoyvik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:30

Suduroy logo
Suduroy
PPG 2.50 · HOME
6 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Hoyvik logo
Hoyvik
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 7.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.3%1-10.5%1-20.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-00.9%2-11.5%2-21.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.8%3-13.0%3-22.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-016.2%4+-126.6%4+-221.9%4+-312.0%4+-4+7.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 91.8%
Draw 4.8%
Away win 3.3%
Over 2.5 98.0%
Over 3.5 94.2%
BTTS 80.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 6-2
xG (home)5.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob80.6%

H 92% / xG 5.9-1.6 / O2.5 98% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 5.2%
#2 4–1 4.4%
#3 5–2 4.3%
#4 4–2 3.6%
#5 5–0 3.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suduroy5.9
Hoyvik1.6

COMBINED 7.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 98.0% · O3.5 PROB 94.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDUROY · PPG 2.50

HOYVIK · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Suduroy (H) 91.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 4.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hoyvik (A) 3.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduroy face Hoyvik in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduroy a 92% chance, the draw 5% and Hoyvik 3%, so Suduroy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.9 for Suduroy and 1.6 for Hoyvik (7.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 98% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduroy are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Hoyvik. This match finished 6-2.

PredictVantage

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