Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Hodonín vs Slovácko II

Hodonín vs Slovácko II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Hodonín logo
Hodonín
PPG 1.86 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Slovácko II logo
Slovácko II
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.2%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.8%1-19.0%1-25.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.4%4+-23.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.9%
Draw 22.3%
Away win 21.8%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 60.1%
Away O1.5 36.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 56% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.5%
#4 3–1 7.1%
#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hodonín2.2
Slovácko II1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HODONÍN · PPG 1.86

SLOVÁCKO II · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hodonín (H) 55.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Slovácko II (A) 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hodonín face Slovácko II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hodonín a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Slovácko II 22%, so Hodonín are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hodonín and 1.2 for Slovácko II (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hodonín are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.17 for Slovácko II.

PredictVantage

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