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Stargard Szczeciński vs Wda Świecie Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 2

Group II - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Stargard Szczeciński

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wda Świecie

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.9%0-23.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.8%1-19.8%1-26.1%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.7%2-19.7%2-26.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.1%3-16.4%3-24.0%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.0%4+-23.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stargard Szczeciński2.0

Wda Świecie1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STARGARD SZCZECIŃSKI · PPG 1.36

WDA ŚWIECIE · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Stargard Szczeciński (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wda Świecie (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stargard Szczeciński face Wda Świecie in Poland - III Liga - Group 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stargard Szczeciński a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Wda Świecie 24%, so Stargard Szczeciński are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.3 for Wda Świecie (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stargard Szczeciński are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.29 for Wda Świecie.

Stargard Szczeciński vs Wda Świecie Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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