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Oţelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Regular Season - 3 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:30

Oţelul

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dinamo Bucuresti

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-16.5%0-24.2%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.5%1-111.0%1-27.1%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.4%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.1%3-15.3%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.3%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 37.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oţelul1.7

Dinamo Bucuresti1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OŢELUL · PPG 2.00

DINAMO BUCURESTI · PPG 1.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Oţelul (H) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dinamo Bucuresti (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oţelul face Dinamo Bucuresti in Romania - Liga I on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oţelul a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Dinamo Bucuresti 27%, so Oţelul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Oţelul and 1.3 for Dinamo Bucuresti (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oţelul are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.03 for Dinamo Bucuresti.

Oţelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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