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Sireți vs Petrocub Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Regular Season - 5 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 17:00

Sireți

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Petrocub

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.15 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-111.0%0-211.2%0-37.6%0-4+6.2%1 1-04.8%1-19.7%1-29.9%1-36.7%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.1%2-14.3%2-24.4%2-33.0%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.6%3-11.3%3-21.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.4% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 57.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.0% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 50.0% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob50.0%

A 57% / xG 0.9-2.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.2%

#2 1–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 0–3 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sireți0.9

Petrocub2.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SIREȚI · PPG 0.00

PETROCUB · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.15 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sireți (H) 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petrocub (A) 57.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sireți face Petrocub in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sireți a 17% chance, the draw 25% and Petrocub 57%, so Petrocub are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sireți and 2.0 for Petrocub (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sireți are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Petrocub.

Sireți vs Petrocub Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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