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Deportivo Cali W vs América de Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 00:00

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

América de Cali W

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 50.4% vs bookmaker-implied 48.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-19.8%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.6%1-112.0%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.9%2-17.3%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-13.0%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% 48.8% 2.05 +3.3%

Draw 29.2% 32.3% 3.10 -5.7%

Away win 20.3% 29.0% 3.45 -18.0%

Over 2.5 39.3% 43.5% 2.30 -9.6%

Over 3.5 19.7% 23.1% 4.33 -8.8%

BTTS 46.6% 51.3% 1.95 -9.1%

Home O1.5 36.8% 43.5% 2.30 -15.4%

Away O1.5 19.1% 28.6% 3.50 -19.9%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.6%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 1–0 19.6%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cali W1.2

América de Cali W0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.50

AMÉRICA DE CALI W · PPG 2.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cali W (H) 50.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +3.3%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -5.7%

América de Cali W (A) 20.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -18.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali W face América de Cali W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali W a 50% chance, the draw 29% and América de Cali W 20%, so Deportivo Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Deportivo Cali W and 0.6 for América de Cali W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.33 for América de Cali W.

Deportivo Cali W vs América de Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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