Today / Finland - Kansallinen Liiga / PK35 Vantaa W vs Ilves W

PK35 Vantaa W vs Ilves W Prediction— Finland - Kansallinen Liiga

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

PK35 Vantaa W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Ilves W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.8%0-22.6%0-32.5%0-4+3.8%1 1-01.3%1-13.9%1-25.7%1-35.5%1-4+8.2%2 2-01.5%2-14.2%2-26.2%2-36.0%2-4+9.0%3 3-01.1%3-13.1%3-24.5%3-34.4%3-4+6.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.8%4+-24.0%4+-33.9%4+-4+5.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.5% — — —

Draw 20.1% — — —

Away win 53.4% — — —

Over 2.5 73.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 63.9% — — —

Away O1.5 78.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob65.9%

A 53% / xG 2.2-2.9 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.2%

#2 2–3 6.0%

#3 1–2 5.7%

#4 1–3 5.5%

#5 1–1 3.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PK35 Vantaa W2.2

Ilves W2.9

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PK35 VANTAA W · PPG 1.00

ILVES W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

PK35 Vantaa W (H) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ilves W (A) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PK35 Vantaa W face Ilves W in Finland - Kansallinen Liiga on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK35 Vantaa W a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Ilves W 53%, so Ilves W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for PK35 Vantaa W and 2.9 for Ilves W (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK35 Vantaa W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Ilves W. This match finished 0-2.

PK35 Vantaa W vs Ilves W Prediction— Finland - Kansallinen Liiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kansallinen Liiga Predictions