Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F / Vratimov vs Frýdlant

Vratimov vs Frýdlant Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 08:15

Vratimov

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWW ·

UPCOMING

Frýdlant

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 78% chance

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.84 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.0%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.5%1-15.9%1-23.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.9%2-18.5%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.6%3-18.2%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-112.1%4+-26.5%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.9% 75.2% 1.33 -7.0%

Draw 15.8% 20.0% 5.00 -12.6%

Away win 14.3% 18.2% 5.50 -12.8%

Over 2.5 68.4% 71.4% 1.40 -4.2%

Over 3.5 49.4% 54.3% 1.84 -9.1%

BTTS 61.5% 63.7% 1.57 -3.4%

Home O1.5 77.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.5%

H 70% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–0 7.6%

#5 1–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vratimov2.9

Frýdlant1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VRATIMOV · PPG 1.89

FRÝDLANT · PPG 0.84

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

78%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.84 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vratimov (H) 69.9%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -7.0%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -12.6%

Frýdlant (A) 14.3%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vratimov face Frýdlant in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vratimov a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Frýdlant 14%, so Vratimov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Vratimov and 1.1 for Frýdlant (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vratimov are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.84 for Frýdlant. The best value bet our model finds is TT_AwayO05, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Vratimov vs Frýdlant Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions