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Abia Warriors vs Kun Khalifat FC Prediction— Nigeria - NPFL

Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 08:00

Abia Warriors

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kun Khalifat FC

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

D ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.0%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.3%1-110.9%1-25.7%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.8%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.6%3-15.9%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.0%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 56.5% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 49.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 14%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.3%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 0–0✓ 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Abia Warriors1.8

Kun Khalifat FC1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ABIA WARRIORS · PPG 1.86

KUN KHALIFAT FC · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Abia Warriors (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kun Khalifat FC (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Abia Warriors face Kun Khalifat FC in Nigeria - NPFL on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Abia Warriors a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Kun Khalifat FC 23%, so Abia Warriors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Abia Warriors and 1.1 for Kun Khalifat FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Abia Warriors are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.10 for Kun Khalifat FC. This match finished 0-0.

Abia Warriors vs Kun Khalifat FC Prediction— Nigeria - NPFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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