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Niger Tornadoes vs Enyimba Prediction— Nigeria - NPFL

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Niger Tornadoes

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Enyimba

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 48.3% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-19.9%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.2%1-112.6%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.9%2-18.0%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 62.5% 1.60 -22.7%

Draw 27.8% 31.3% 3.20 -6.6%

Away win 24.0% 18.2% 5.50 +19.2%

Over 2.5 43.1% 38.5% 2.60 +12.1%

Over 3.5 20.7% 20.4% 4.90 +0.9%

BTTS 47.2% 42.4% 2.36 +11.4%

Home O1.5 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%

Away O1.5 18.2% 17.7% 5.65 +1.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 14%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.2%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Niger Tornadoes1.3

Enyimba0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NIGER TORNADOES · PPG 1.96

ENYIMBA · PPG 0.83

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Niger Tornadoes (H) 48.3%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -22.7%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -6.6%

Enyimba (A) 24.0%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Niger Tornadoes face Enyimba in Nigeria - NPFL on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Niger Tornadoes a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Enyimba 24%, so Niger Tornadoes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Niger Tornadoes and 0.7 for Enyimba (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Niger Tornadoes are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 0.83 for Enyimba. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Niger Tornadoes vs Enyimba Prediction— Nigeria - NPFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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