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Desportivo Huíla vs Wiliete Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:30

Desportivo Huíla

PPG 1.87 · HOME

LAST 5

LWL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Wiliete

PPG 2.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-110.8%0-25.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.2%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.4%2-18.1%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.4%3-13.3%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.3% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 30.9% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.2% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 33.8% — — —

Away O1.5 27.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 11.1%

#4 0–1✓ 10.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Desportivo Huíla1.2

Wiliete1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DESPORTIVO HUÍLA · PPG 1.87

WILIETE · PPG 2.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Desportivo Huíla (H) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wiliete (A) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Desportivo Huíla face Wiliete in Angola - Girabola on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Desportivo Huíla a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Wiliete 31%, so Desportivo Huíla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Desportivo Huíla and 1.0 for Wiliete (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Desportivo Huíla are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 2.02 for Wiliete. This match finished 0-1.

Desportivo Huíla vs Wiliete Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Match Preview & Prediction

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