Today / Angola - Girabola / Kabuscorp vs CD Lunda-Sul

Kabuscorp vs CD Lunda-Sul Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Kabuscorp

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

CD Lunda-Sul

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-110.9%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.9%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-17.7%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-13.0%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 57.8% 1.73 -26.0%

Draw 33.7% 32.3% 3.10 +4.5%

Away win 23.5% 21.1% 4.75 +7.0%

Over 2.5 37.5% 38.2% 2.62 -1.8%

Over 3.5 18.0% 19.4% 5.15 -4.4%

BTTS 43.7% 42.4% 2.36 +3.1%

Home O1.5 32.1% 45.0% 2.22 -28.7%

Away O1.5 22.8% 17.7% 5.65 +17.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.7%

H 43% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1✓ 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kabuscorp1.2

CD Lunda-Sul0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KABUSCORP · PPG 1.39

CD LUNDA-SUL · PPG 1.13

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 1.96 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kabuscorp (H) 42.8%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -26.0%

Draw 33.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +4.5%

CD Lunda-Sul (A) 23.5%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kabuscorp face CD Lunda-Sul in Angola - Girabola on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kabuscorp a 43% chance, the draw 34% and CD Lunda-Sul 24%, so Kabuscorp are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kabuscorp and 0.8 for CD Lunda-Sul (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kabuscorp are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.13 for CD Lunda-Sul. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 1-1.