Today / Oman - Professional League / Smail vs Saham

Smail vs Saham Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 13:45

Smail

PPG 1.03 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Saham

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-19.8%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.4%1-112.7%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.8%2-18.3%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.0%3-13.6%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.7% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 38.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0✓ 10.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Smail1.3

Saham1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SMAIL · PPG 1.03

SAHAM · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Smail (H) 38.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saham (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Smail face Saham in Oman - Professional League on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Smail a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Saham 35%, so Smail are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Smail and 1.2 for Saham (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Smail are averaging 1.03 points per game versus 1.17 for Saham. This match finished 1-0.

Smail vs Saham Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Oman - Professional League Predictions