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Spartak Police n/Metují vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Spartak Police n/Metují

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.6%0-23.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.1%1-110.3%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.7%3-15.9%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.2%4+-22.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spartak Police n/Metují1.9

Chlumec nad Cidlinou1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTAK POLICE N/METUJÍ · PPG 1.37

CHLUMEC NAD CIDLINOU · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Spartak Police n/Metují (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chlumec nad Cidlinou (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spartak Police n/Metují face Chlumec nad Cidlinou in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spartak Police n/Metují a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Chlumec nad Cidlinou 27%, so Spartak Police n/Metují are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Spartak Police n/Metují and 1.3 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spartak Police n/Metují are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.07 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou. This match finished 3-1.

Spartak Police n/Metují vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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