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Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Grbalj

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

DWD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Mladost Lješkopolje

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.7%0-24.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.0%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.3%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.3%3-14.8%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.6% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 45.8% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 0–0✓ 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grbalj1.6

Mladost Lješkopolje1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GRBALJ · PPG 1.93

MLADOST LJEŠKOPOLJE · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Grbalj (H) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mladost Lješkopolje (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grbalj face Mladost Lješkopolje in Montenegro - Second League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grbalj a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Mladost Lješkopolje 29%, so Grbalj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Grbalj and 1.1 for Mladost Lješkopolje (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grbalj are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.42 for Mladost Lješkopolje. This match finished 0-0.

Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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