Today / Angola - Girabola / Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda

Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Académica do Lobito

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Petro de Luanda

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-113.7%0-27.4%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.6%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.2%2-16.6%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 37.8% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.8%

#3 0–1 13.7%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 0–2✓ 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Académica do Lobito1.0

Petro de Luanda1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ACADÉMICA DO LOBITO · PPG 1.43

PETRO DE LUANDA · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.09, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Académica do Lobito (H) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petro de Luanda (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Académica do Lobito face Petro de Luanda in Angola - Girabola on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Académica do Lobito a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Petro de Luanda 38%, so Petro de Luanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Académica do Lobito and 1.1 for Petro de Luanda (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Académica do Lobito are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.80 for Petro de Luanda. This match finished 0-2.

Académica do Lobito vs Petro de Luanda Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Match Preview & Prediction

More Angola - Girabola Predictions