Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - Center / Podkonice vs Banská Byst II

Podkonice vs Banská Byst II Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Central · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Podkonice logo
Podkonice
PPG 1.77 · HOME
LAST 5
WLW ··
4 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Banská Byst II logo
Banská Byst II
PPG 1.30 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.99 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.1%0-22.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.5%1-18.9%1-25.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.2%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.9%3-17.1%3-24.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-16.4%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.5%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 21.6%
Over 2.5 62.0%
Over 3.5 39.3%
BTTS 58.7%
Home O1.5 65.7%
Away O1.5 34.4%

League track record

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%
O2.5 80%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 8.2%
#4 3–1 7.1%
#5 1–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podkonice2.2
Banská Byst II1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PODKONICE · PPG 1.77

BANSKÁ BYST II · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.99 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Podkonice (H) 56.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Banská Byst II (A) 21.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podkonice face Banská Byst II in Slovakia - 3. liga - Center on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podkonice a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Banská Byst II 22%, so Podkonice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Podkonice and 1.2 for Banská Byst II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podkonice are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.30 for Banská Byst II. This match finished 4-1.

PredictVantage

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