Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - Center / Baník Kalinovo vs Fiľakovo

Baník Kalinovo vs Fiľakovo Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Central · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Baník Kalinovo

PPG 1.85 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Fiľakovo

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-17.7%0-24.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.1%1-111.9%1-27.1%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.2%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.0%3-14.8%3-22.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% 40.8% 2.45 +9.0%

Draw 26.5% 29.4% 3.40 -5.9%

Away win 29.0% 40.8% 2.45 -17.4%

Over 2.5 50.2% 61.7% 1.62 -18.7%

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 53.0% 62.9% 1.59 -15.7%

Home O1.5 43.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.0%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 2–0 7.8%

#5 0–0✓ 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Kalinovo1.5

Fiľakovo1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK KALINOVO · PPG 1.85

FIĽAKOVO · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Baník Kalinovo (H) 44.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +9.0%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.9%

Fiľakovo (A) 29.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Kalinovo face Fiľakovo in Slovakia - 3. liga - Center on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Kalinovo a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Fiľakovo 29%, so Baník Kalinovo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Baník Kalinovo and 1.2 for Fiľakovo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Kalinovo are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.38 for Fiľakovo. This match finished 0-0.