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Fiľakovo vs Fomat Martin Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Central · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Fiľakovo

PPG 2.16 · HOME

LAST 5

WWW ··

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fomat Martin

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.7%0-23.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.8%1-19.1%1-27.2%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.6%3-15.7%3-24.5%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.3%4+-23.4%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.4% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fiľakovo1.9

Fomat Martin1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FIĽAKOVO · PPG 2.16

FOMAT MARTIN · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fiľakovo (H) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fomat Martin (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fiľakovo face Fomat Martin in Slovakia - 3. liga - Center on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fiľakovo a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Fomat Martin 35%, so Fiľakovo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Fiľakovo and 1.6 for Fomat Martin (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fiľakovo are averaging 2.16 points per game versus 1.73 for Fomat Martin. This match finished 6-1.

Fiľakovo vs Fomat Martin Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Match Preview & Prediction

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