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Zabreh vs Nový Jičín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Zabreh

PPG 1.66 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Nový Jičín

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.8%0-23.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.6%1-19.7%1-26.1%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.0%3-16.4%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.1%4+-23.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 60.9% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zabreh2.0

Nový Jičín1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ZABREH · PPG 1.66

NOVÝ JIČÍN · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zabreh (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nový Jičín (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zabreh face Nový Jičín in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zabreh a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Nový Jičín 25%, so Zabreh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Zabreh and 1.3 for Nový Jičín (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zabreh are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.48 for Nový Jičín. This match finished 0-1.

Zabreh vs Nový Jičín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions