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Bospor Bohumín vs Pustá Polom Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Bospor Bohumín logo
Bospor Bohumín
PPG 2.13 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWW ·
4 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Pustá Polom logo
Pustá Polom
PPG 0.76 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLDL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.50 for Home, form 2.13 vs 0.76 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.2%0-21.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-04.8%1-16.1%1-23.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.7%2-18.5%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.2%3-17.9%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-110.8%4+-26.9%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.9%
Draw 15.4%
Away win 20.6%
Over 2.5 68.2%
Over 3.5 48.2%
BTTS 63.1%
Home O1.5 66.3%
Away O1.5 36.6%

League track record

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 82%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%
#2 3–1 7.9%
#3 2–0 6.7%
#4 1–1 6.1%
#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bospor Bohumín2.8
Pustá Polom1.3

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSPOR BOHUMÍN · PPG 2.13

PUSTÁ POLOM · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.50 for Home, form 2.13 vs 0.76 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bospor Bohumín (H) 63.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pustá Polom (A) 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bospor Bohumín face Pustá Polom in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bospor Bohumín a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Pustá Polom 21%, so Bospor Bohumín are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Bospor Bohumín and 1.3 for Pustá Polom (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bospor Bohumín are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.76 for Pustá Polom. This match finished 4-1.

PredictVantage

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