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Sagrada Esperança vs São Salvador Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Sagrada Esperança

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

3 – 1

FULL TIME

São Salvador

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-110.6%0-24.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.6%1-113.0%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.6%2-18.0%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-13.3%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 37.8% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 46.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 15.6%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sagrada Esperança1.2

São Salvador0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAGRADA ESPERANÇA · PPG 1.58

SÃO SALVADOR · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sagrada Esperança (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Salvador (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sagrada Esperança face São Salvador in Angola - Girabola on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sagrada Esperança a 41% chance, the draw 32% and São Salvador 27%, so Sagrada Esperança are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sagrada Esperança and 0.8 for São Salvador (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sagrada Esperança are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.91 for São Salvador. This match finished 3-1.

Sagrada Esperança vs São Salvador Prediction— Angola - Girabola

Match Preview & Prediction

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