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Lovćen vs Berane Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00

Lovćen

PPG 1.13 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Berane

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.3%0-25.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.1%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-18.3%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.2%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.0% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 30.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.6% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 32.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lovćen1.3

Berane1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LOVĆEN · PPG 1.13

BERANE · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lovćen (H) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Berane (A) 30.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lovćen face Berane in Montenegro - Second League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lovćen a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Berane 31%, so Lovćen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lovćen and 1.1 for Berane (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lovćen are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.25 for Berane. This match finished 3-2.

Lovćen vs Berane Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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