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Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Central · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Oravské Veselé

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Novohrad Lučenec

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-16.1%0-23.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.9%1-110.8%1-26.5%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.6%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.7%3-15.7%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.8%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 27.4% — — —

Over 2.5 56.6% — — —

Over 3.5 36.1% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oravské Veselé1.8

Novohrad Lučenec1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ORAVSKÉ VESELÉ · PPG 1.30

NOVOHRAD LUČENEC · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Oravské Veselé (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Novohrad Lučenec (A) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oravské Veselé face Novohrad Lučenec in Slovakia - 3. liga - Center on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oravské Veselé a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Novohrad Lučenec 27%, so Oravské Veselé are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Oravské Veselé and 1.2 for Novohrad Lučenec (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oravské Veselé are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.18 for Novohrad Lučenec. This match finished 3-2.

Oravské Veselé vs Novohrad Lučenec Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - Center

Match Preview & Prediction

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