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Stonava vs Vratimov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Stonava

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWL ·

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Vratimov

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.0%0-24.4%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.0%1-110.3%1-27.6%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.5%3-15.2%3-23.8%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.3%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 61.9% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stonava1.7

Vratimov1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STONAVA · PPG 1.45

VRATIMOV · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stonava (H) 43.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vratimov (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stonava face Vratimov in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stonava a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Vratimov 34%, so Stonava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Stonava and 1.5 for Vratimov (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stonava are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.73 for Vratimov. This match finished 1-3.

Stonava vs Vratimov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

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