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Chrudim II vs Přepeře Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Chrudim II

PPG 1.05 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLL ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Přepeře

PPG 1.95 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.8%0-25.5%0-34.3%0-4+4.3%1 1-03.2%1-17.5%1-28.7%1-36.7%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-26.8%2-35.2%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.3%3-13.1%3-23.5%3-32.7%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.5% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 57.3% — — —

Over 2.5 68.4% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 46.2% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 1–3 6.7%

#4 0–2 5.5%

#5 2–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chrudim II1.6

Přepeře2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHRUDIM II · PPG 1.05

PŘEPEŘE · PPG 1.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.75 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Chrudim II (H) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Přepeře (A) 57.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chrudim II face Přepeře in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chrudim II a 24% chance, the draw 19% and Přepeře 57%, so Přepeře are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Chrudim II and 2.3 for Přepeře (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chrudim II are averaging 1.05 points per game versus 1.95 for Přepeře. This match finished 1-2.

Chrudim II vs Přepeře Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C Predictions