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Břidličná vs Bílovec Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Břidličná

PPG 1.09 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bílovec

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.0%0-24.8%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.4%1-110.2%1-28.1%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.0%3-14.8%3-23.8%3-32.0%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.9%4+-22.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Břidličná1.7

Bílovec1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BŘIDLIČNÁ · PPG 1.09

BÍLOVEC · PPG 1.16

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Břidličná (H) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bílovec (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Břidličná face Bílovec in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Břidličná a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Bílovec 36%, so Břidličná are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Břidličná and 1.6 for Bílovec (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Břidličná are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.16 for Bílovec. This match finished 3-1.

Břidličná vs Bílovec Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

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