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Springvale vs Bayside Argonauts Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 05:00

Springvale

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bayside Argonauts

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 62% chance

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-18.4%0-28.0%0-35.1%0-4+3.8%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.7%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.3%2-16.2%2-25.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.3%3-12.5%3-22.4%3-31.5%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 49.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.7% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 32.7% — — —

Away O1.5 56.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.0%

#4 2–1 6.2%

#5 0–1✓ 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Springvale1.2

Bayside Argonauts1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPRINGVALE · PPG 1.25

BAYSIDE ARGONAUTS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

62%

DANGER

xG gap -0.69 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Springvale (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bayside Argonauts (A) 49.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Springvale face Bayside Argonauts in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Springvale a 28% chance, the draw 23% and Bayside Argonauts 50%, so Bayside Argonauts are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Springvale and 1.9 for Bayside Argonauts (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Springvale are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Bayside Argonauts. This match finished 0-1.

Springvale vs Bayside Argonauts Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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