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Keilor Park vs Altona City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 05:00

Keilor Park

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Altona City

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-17.2%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.6%1-111.8%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.5%3-15.2%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.2%

#4 2–1✓ 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Keilor Park1.6

Altona City0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KEILOR PARK · PPG 1.92

ALTONA CITY · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

55%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Keilor Park (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Altona City (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Keilor Park face Altona City in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Keilor Park a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Altona City 24%, so Keilor Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Keilor Park and 0.9 for Altona City (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Keilor Park are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 0.92 for Altona City. This match finished 2-1.

Keilor Park vs Altona City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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