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Goulburn Valley Suns vs Box Hill Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 05:00

Goulburn Valley Suns

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Box Hill

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.4%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.8%1-111.0%1-26.9%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.6%2-19.5%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.4%3-15.5%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goulburn Valley Suns1.7

Box Hill1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GOULBURN VALLEY SUNS · PPG 2.33

BOX HILL · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Goulburn Valley Suns (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Box Hill (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goulburn Valley Suns face Box Hill in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goulburn Valley Suns a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Box Hill 29%, so Goulburn Valley Suns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Goulburn Valley Suns and 1.2 for Box Hill (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goulburn Valley Suns are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Box Hill. This match finished 3-0.

Goulburn Valley Suns vs Box Hill Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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