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Moreland City vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Matchday 18 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 09:30

Moreland City

PPG 0.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLD

2 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Nunawading

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.1%0-24.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.7%1-19.3%1-27.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.2%3-15.3%3-24.3%3-32.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.7%4+-23.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 66.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 55.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 2–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Moreland City1.8

Nunawading1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MORELAND CITY · PPG 0.45

NUNAWADING · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Moreland City (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nunawading (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Moreland City face Nunawading in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Moreland City a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Nunawading 35%, so Moreland City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Moreland City and 1.6 for Nunawading (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Moreland City are averaging 0.45 points per game versus 0.64 for Nunawading. This match finished 2-6.

Moreland City vs Nunawading Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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