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Berane vs Iskra Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 17:00

Berane

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Iskra

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-111.8%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.8%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.4%2-17.6%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 34.0% — — —

Away win 27.2% — — —

Over 2.5 38.0% — — —

Over 3.5 20.1% — — —

BTTS 45.3% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.0%

#3 1–0 14.8%

#4 0–1✓ 11.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berane1.1

Iskra0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BERANE · PPG 1.36

ISKRA · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Berane (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iskra (A) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berane face Iskra in Montenegro - Second League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berane a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Iskra 27%, so Berane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Berane and 0.9 for Iskra (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berane are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.46 for Iskra. This match finished 0-1.

Berane vs Iskra Prediction— Montenegro - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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