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Svitavy vs Hlinsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Group C · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:00

Svitavy

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLL ·

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hlinsko

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.2%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.2%1-17.2%1-26.2%1-33.5%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.8%2-18.2%2-27.0%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.7%3-16.3%3-25.3%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-16.1%4+-25.2%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Svitavy2.3

Hlinsko1.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SVITAVY · PPG 1.52

HLINSKO · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Svitavy (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hlinsko (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Svitavy face Hlinsko in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Svitavy a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Hlinsko 30%, so Svitavy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Svitavy and 1.7 for Hlinsko (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Svitavy are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.87 for Hlinsko. This match finished 0-6.

Svitavy vs Hlinsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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