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Šumperk vs Stonava Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Šumperk

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLW ·

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Stonava

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.6%0-24.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.5%1-111.1%1-27.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.3%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.0%3-15.2%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.2%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 33.8% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.5% — — —

Away O1.5 39.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 7.1%

#4 1–2 7.3%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Šumperk1.7

Stonava1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ŠUMPERK · PPG 1.52

STONAVA · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Šumperk (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stonava (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Šumperk face Stonava in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Šumperk a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Stonava 29%, so Šumperk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Šumperk and 1.3 for Stonava (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Šumperk are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.43 for Stonava. This match finished 0-3.

Šumperk vs Stonava Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions