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Pustá Polom vs Zabreh Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Group F · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Pustá Polom

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDL ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zabreh

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.9%0-26.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.4%1-111.3%1-28.7%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.1%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.9%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 39.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 33.3% — — —

BTTS 56.8% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 9%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–1 7.9%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pustá Polom1.4

Zabreh1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSTÁ POLOM · PPG 1.59

ZABREH · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pustá Polom (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zabreh (A) 39.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pustá Polom face Zabreh in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pustá Polom a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Zabreh 39%, so Zabreh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Pustá Polom and 1.5 for Zabreh (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pustá Polom are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.70 for Zabreh. This match finished 2-2.

Pustá Polom vs Zabreh Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions